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Soil erosion in the United States: Present and future (2020-2050)

Research Context

Accelerated soil erosion threatens ecosystem function, agricultural productivity, and water quality. Field-scale assessments for present and future conditions are necessary to guide conservation decisions.

Method

The study applies a geospatial soil-erosion framework integrating climate pathways (CMIP6 SSP-RCP scenarios), land-cover information, and process-based modeling variables at fine spatial resolution.

Key Insights

  • Spatial erosion risk varies significantly under alternative climate trajectories.
  • Conservation practices materially change erosion outcomes at field scales.
  • Scenario-based evidence supports adaptive planning for future land management.